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Common Investor Mistakes
Gauging Risk
Buy & Hold Tragedy
Bear Markets
Bear Markets

Bear markets are the greatest peril for long term investors. To be a successful investor you need to be able to avoid or reduce the risk of this peril. What takes years to create can be wiped out in just months.


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S&P 500 Bear Market Study
September 1929 through December 2007 (78 years)

Bear Market
Duration
% Decline
Time to Break Even
Sep '29 - Jun '32
33 months
-86.7%
25.2 years
Jul '33 - Mar '35
20 months
-33.9%
2.3 years
Mar '37 - Mar '38
12 months
-54.5%
8.9 years
Nov '38 - Apr '42
41 months
-45.8%
6.4 years
May '46 - Mar '48
22 months
-28.1%
4.1 years
Aug '56 - Oct '57
14 months
-21.6%
2.1 years
Dec '61 - Jun '62
6 months
-28.0%
1.8 years
Feb '66 - Oct '66
8 months
-22.2%
1.4 years
Nov '68 - May '70
18 months
-36.1%
3.3 years
Jan '73 - Oct '74
21 months
-48.2%
7.6 years
Nov '80 - Aug '82
21 months
-27.1%
2.1 years
Aug '87 - Dec '87
4 months
-33.5%
1.9 years
Jul '90 - Oct '90
3 months
-19.9%
0.6 years
Jul '98 - Aug '98
1 months
-19.34%
.25 years
Mar '00 - Oct '02
31 months
-49.15%
7.2 years
averages
17 months
-36.94%
5.01 years

Bear markets can come at any time.
On average, it takes 5.01 years to recover.

 
 
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